Evaluating the Forex Market

Learning to trade the forex market can be a valuable lifetime financial skill. The road to financial freedom requires a toll be paid in the form of perseverance and dedication. The journey starts with a single step and that step should be in the direction of developing a strong foundation in forex market analysis. In this article we are going to go over some forex market evaluation strategies designed to manage profit and losses in your currency trading account.

For anyone starting out trading the forex market, managing your trading can be a daunting task. Everything else seems to take priority over proven evaluation techniques. Learning the currency pairs and the myriad of technical indicators can at first be all encompassing, but building a solid market evaluation approach will allow you to maintain the big picture necessary for successful forex trading.

It all begins with a trading plan. Your forex trading plan should be your hard and fast guide to trade execution. Your trading plan should reflect your trading philosophy and style. Your plan should also contain key forex market evaluation strategies. Below are some currency market evaluation rules that can be embedded into your forex trading plan.

1. Price Action

In the end it is all about the price. Take a look at the current price behavior. Determine if the market is oversold or overbought. Are there any signals indicating a reversal, continuation or retracement? Where are the areas of support and resistance?

2. Market Condition

Access the overall market conditions. Look at both long and short term views. Access if the market is range bound or trending. Look deep into the market using multiple time frames in your technical analysis to determine if the currency pairs are trending short term in a long term range bound market or vice versa.

Stay current with the news and geo-political events. Technical analysis is the direction and the news can be the catalyst. Get comfortable with the principals of that Italian mathematician named Fibonacci.

3. Price Target

Determine what your price target is for the respective ranges and time frames. Patiently time your trade executions. You will be rewarded. Use your price action evaluation and market conditions to determine your price target.

Ask yourself if it makes sense and look for reasons NOT to enter a trade. When you cannot find those reasons then it is onto trade execution to determine reward-risk ratios and stop losses!

4. Stop Loss

Determine the criteria for stopping the trade on both profit and loss side. Decide upon both technical and fundamental stops. No one is correct 100% of the time, in fact when we trade leveraged instruments like currencies we can be profitable with less than a 50-50 win-loss ratio when we have excellent money management skills.

If you trade without a stop-loss then your forex experience will be a short-term activity!

Anyone can enter a trade, but it is the truly skilled forex trader that knows when to exit the trade. On the profit side, as well as the loss side!

5. Risk Management

Determine how much capital you are going to risk in a given trade. This is critical. You have performed all your evaluation and your exact risk should be a known quantity.

You should also have a minimum reward to risk ratio established in order to limit your losing trades while giving the best odds for the trade to be profitable. This risk to reward ration should be determined by your trading style and time frames used.

Finally, talk the trade through with your trading group or out loud if you are alone. Trust me; you will not be the first forex trader to talk to yourself. Being able to talk through a trade will reinforced the positive aspects of the trade and confirms that your trade will be executed in accordance with your trading plan.

Then it is time to celebrate, because even if the trade does not go your way you had solid execution. You had a losing trade and not a bad trade. That is the difference between successful and non-successful traders. The law of averages will eventually reward you.

If forex is your path to financial freedom, then it should be your business as well. Developing a solid business (trading) plan and market evaluation approach will be your foundation for success in the forex market.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Todd_Judkins

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Forex Education Tips - 5 Steps to Successful Forex Trading

Close to 95% of all Forex traders will lose money. We're not just talking about novices, either. Whether you trade Forex for a living, as a hobby or just for fun, odds are against your success. That's a simply astonishing fact. However, the remaining 5% of Forex traders somehow manage to break even and there are those lucky few that actually make money in the currency market – consistently!

Like the TV show says … “How’d they do that, anyway?”

That's the million dollar questions, isn’t it? Countless books, seminars and expos have been hosted to answer this very question. That sad fact is that thousands of books have been written and countless seminars and interviews have been conducted in an attempt to answer the magic questions. The reality of the situation is that there is no magic formula; no one single Holy Grail of Forex trading.

So what do the successful traders do that the rest of us have simple not comprehended. They have mastered a process of winning where they combine and customize several factor to produce consistent results. They have mastered the Process of Trading.

The Process of Trading is:

Strategy > Money Management > Self-Mastery

Here are some simple Forex Education tips to help you master the process of forex trading:

Success Tip #1 – You’ve Got To Have a Plan

You must have a written business plan that will detail all aspects of your trading. When are you going to trade, how much to risk, strategies for entries and exits are just o name a few. To become a consistent (profitable) Forex trader you have to plan your trade sand trade your plan.

Simplicity rules! Don’t make this plan too complicated. One sheet of paper for you mission statement and another for your trading plan should suffice. Anything more is probably too complicated.

Success Tip #2 – Focus on Your Personal Psychology

Knowing yourself will allow you to master the discipline necessary to execute high quality trades with solid money management techniques. Lack of discipline is fatal in Forex trading. Go on a personal journey to identify you attitudes towards risk and money. Get intimate with your strengths and weaknesses as a trader and build in to your trading plan strategies to minimize those weaknesses and maximize your strengths.

Different personalities lend to different trading styles. Get familiar with all the different styles and over time you will begin to gravitate towards one particular style. Don’t fight the urge like I did. I insisted I was a day trader, but had only limited results. I found my winning percentages were much higher when I entered swing trades. Guess what’s my bread and butter strategy now!

Success Tip #3 – Be Realistic About Your Expectations

This is a hard one, I know! I am on the internet every day and the amount of advertising is staggering. Brokers are offering free education (fox in the hen house if you ask me), forums of all different trading styles and points of view. Gurus pushing their system as “the one” that will make you the big bucks. How do you get through all that noise?

Let me tell you loud and clear right now – everyone is right and everyone is wrong. You have to make a personal commitment to become a successful trader, find a trading style that works for you and expect a slow and steady approach to wealth building through Forex.

What works for me may not work for you. Expect to go through an exploratory period where you are learning and at the same time exploring yourself as a trader. Keep an open mind and don’t pay attention to all the noise out there.

Success Tip #4 – Exercise Patience

Rome was not built in a day and neither will your trading account. In fact, I tell all of my students that while they are studying to become successful Forex traders they should not look solely at their account balance as an indication of success or failure.

By tracking and increasing your percentage of high quality trades you execute is a far better barometer of your progress than your account balance. Cause and effect rule here. Over time when you increase your probabilities through the execution of high quality trades your account balance will respond accordingly.

Keep the focus on the process and with time your results will blow your mind.

Success Tip #5 - Money Management Is Top Priority

I would rather have a shaky strategy and excellent money management techniques than the other way around. This topic warrants its own blog post to do it justice. Limited your exposure (read “risk”) allows for you to stay in the game and allow the laws of probability to work.

Let’s take a casino for example. They need gamblers to frequent their slot machines to make money. Why? They have a game that has a greater than 50% chance of making money for the house. The more people that play the slots, the greater the casino’s profits.

The casino controls risk by payout tables (always favoring the house!) and increases their probabilities by keeping gamblers at the slot machines (read “free drinks”). As a trader you must limit your risk by committing only 1% - 3% of available capital to a single trade. When you execute enough trades with a high probability strategy you too can clean up like the casinos – but only by staying in the game long term.

In conclusion, Forex trading is not easy. It’s hard work and will test the limits of your patience and perseverance. If anyone tells you otherwise .., buyers beware! It can be a very rewarding and profitable venture if done correctly. In the end it is a profession that requires a learning curve and practical experience, no different than an airline pilot or engineer. Understanding how to approach and learn this game will allow you to reap all the benefits advertised. It is your Forex Education that you will master the Process of Forex Trading.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Todd_Judkins

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Do you have what it takes to become a successful Forex Trader?

Forex trading, or any trading for that matter, is an occupation that requires experience and the accumulation of proficiency not unlike any other highly skilled profession. Whether you are a leading executive at a major publically traded company, a professional golfer or trading from your kitchen table, there are 5 key ingredients that one must possess in order to become successful.

1. You must be Passionate about what you do.

As Forex traders we all face one unique set of circumstances that does not exist in any other profession. We get rewarded for when we succeed and equally punished when we don’t! Could you image a corporate worker one quarter receiving a significant accomplishment bonus and the next quarter actually getting money taken from their paycheck for missing performance targets? Not on your life!

We do as Forex traders and that is why passion for what you do will carry you through the tough times that are part of your trading business. Asked yourself why you trade currencies and would you still do it if Forex were not potentially lucrative? Your answers will be quite revealing. You’ve got to feel your passion for trading!

2. You have to Apply Yourself and work hard at it.

I talk to so many people that enter into Forex trading with the aspiration of getting rich quick. Without putting the time and energy into really getting good at trading I see them jump from strategy to strategy looking for the goose that will lay the golden egg and eventually quitting while blaming everything else, except the true cause.

I got news for you – you are the goose and your Forex education is the golden egg. The magic has always resided with the magician and not some strategy. Work hard at trading and the rewards will eventually come your way. Remember what Tiger Woods said, “Funny, the harder I work the luckier I get.” Apply yourself as a trader and it will be no accident when your account begins to blossom.

3. You must Focus to really get good at what you do.

Now here is the hurdle most Forex traders struggle to get over. You have the passion and you are applying yourself to your trade, now focus and really get good at just at what you are doing. Be the expert to the experts at just that one thing. Become the master of a strategy or risk management methodologies. Really focus on getting good at it.

Stop jumping around or getting pulled from the last “latest and greatest” into the next “latest and greatest” and focus on one aspect of Forex trading and know it inside out. Know it strengths and weakness. Set your sights on becoming expert on just one aspect of trading and watch it spill over in all other aspects for your currency trading. This is the time to fail forward fast, use every setback as a learning opportunity that will propel you 3-steps ahead!

4. You must Push Yourself beyond the point everyone else might have quite.

In Forex Trading this is simple. Assume there is someone on the other side of your trade that is pushing themselves and sharpening their edge. To be successful you must you must do the same thing. Now is the time to examine your mental edge. Do you know the single most critical factor in any currency trade? It is you, the trader! Sharpening you mental edge is the most difficult aspect of trading, but also the most rewarding.

Start with your Forex education and gain the self-awareness necessary to maximize your strengths and suppress your weaknesses. Any expert will tell you that trading is 80% mental. It’s time to sharpen your trading to the razor’s edge and you do this through Forex education. A constant and never ending process that will become the cornerstone of your Forex experience.

5. You must, without wavering, be Determined and Persist to your objective.

You will fail. I can state that emphatically. However, you will not be defeated unless you allow your failures to control your trading. It is the old adage; failure is not falling of your horse, failure is refusing to get back on. Your success depends on your ability to dismiss the criticism, rejection, self-doubt and pressures associated with Forex trading.

Defining what is a winning trade, losing trade and bad trade will go a long way into developing you as a successful trader. Without the determination and persistence in all aspects of your trading life, obstacle will definitely appear closer and larger than they actually are.

Take a moment and assess yourself and your trading. Do you have the key elements to succeed? Which areas are presents development opportunities? When conducting a self-evaluation it is critical to be totally upfront and honest with yourself. After all, you will only be dishonest with yourself. One of the most interesting observations you can make is that all key success factors are interwoven. One factor supports the other. This is why your Forex education is a continuous journey of forex strategy, money management and self-mastery. Set these factors as your Forex education goals and take your currency trading to new heights.

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Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange market (currency, forex, or FX) market is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. FX transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when worldover countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Now, the FX market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual FX Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

The purpose of FX market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollar, Pound Sterling, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies.

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Apa Itu Forex ?

Foreign Exchange (forex) atau dikenal sebagai valuta asing (valas) merupakan salah satu pilihan investasi yang berkembang di Indonesia saat ini. Forex Trading adalah transaksi perdagangan nilai tukar mata uang asing di pasar uang internasional. Pasar forex merupakan pasar uang terbesar di dunia.

Yang melakukan transaksi di pasar forex adalah: pemerintah-pemerintah di dunia, bank-bank utama dunia, perusahaan bertaraf internasional, hedge fund, spekulan valas maupun individu. Sehingga dengan banyaknya pemain di pasar forex ini menyebabkan perputaran uang menjadi sangat cepat. Transaksi yang terjadi lebih dari 1,9 triliun US dollar setiap hari sehingga membuat uang dapat berpindah tangan dari satu tempat ke tempat lain hanya dalam beberapa detik.

Seperti halnya bursa saham para pemain forex dapat melakukan trading dengan menggunakan jasa perusahaan pialang (commision house) atau melakukannya sendiri secara online melalui internet.

Perdagangan forex memiliki beberapa kelebihan dibandingkan dengan perdagangan produk-produk keuangan lain seperti perdagangan saham, yaitu:

24 Hours Trading
Dapat dilakukan 24 jam sehari, 5 hari seminggu, kapan dan dimanapun kita berada.

Likuiditas
Sangat likuid dengan banyaknya broker/dealer yang bermain dalam pasar forex.

Rendahnya biaya transaksi
Komisi broker relatif kecil, bahkan untuk trading online melalui internet tidak ada biaya transaksi namun hanya dikenakan biaya yang jumlahnya beragam. Selain itu spreadnya juga kecil.

Potensi keuntungan 2 arah (naik maupun turun)
Memiliki potensi keuntungan baik pada mata uang yang menguat maupun pada mata uang yang melemah.

Margin Trading
Perdagangan dengan margin membuat daya beli investor melebihi jumlah modal yang dimiliki.

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Trading characteristics

There is no unified or centrally cleared market for the majority of FX trades, and there is very little cross-border regulation. Due to the over-the-counter (OTC) nature of currency markets, there are rather a number of interconnected marketplaces, where different currencies instruments are traded. This implies that there is not a single exchange rate but rather a number of different rates (prices), depending on what bank or market maker is trading, and where it is. In practice the rates are often very close, otherwise they could be exploited by arbitrageurs instantaneously. Due to London's dominance in the market, a particular currency's quoted price is usually the London market price. A joint venture of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Reuters, called Fxmarketspace opened in 2007 and aspired but failed to the role of a central market clearing mechanism.

The main trading center is London, but New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore are all important centers as well. Banks throughout the world participate. Currency trading happens continuously throughout the day; as the Asian trading session ends, the European session begins, followed by the North American session and then back to the Asian session, excluding weekends.

Fluctuations in exchange rates are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as by expectations of changes in monetary flows caused by changes in gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation (purchasing power parity theory), interest rates (interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect), budget and trade deficits or surpluses, large cross-border M&A deals and other macroeconomic conditions. Major news is released publicly, often on scheduled dates, so many people have access to the same news at the same time. However, the large banks have an important advantage; they can see their customers' order flow.

Currencies are traded against one another. Each pair of currencies thus constitutes an individual product and is traditionally noted XXX/YYY, where YYY is the ISO 4217 international three-letter code of the currency into which the price of one unit of XXX is expressed (called base currency). For instance, EUR/USD is the price of the euro expressed in US dollars, as in 1 euro = 1.5465 dollar. Out of convention, the first currency in the pair, the base currency, was the stronger currency at the creation of the pair. The second currency, counter currency, was the weaker currency at the creation of the pair.

The factors affecting XXX will affect both XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ. This causes positive currency correlation between XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ.

On the spot market, according to the BIS study, the most heavily traded products were:

* EUR/USD: 27%
* USD/JPY: 13%
* GBP/USD (also called sterling or cable): 12%

and the US currency was involved in 86.3% of transactions, followed by the euro (37.0%), the yen (16.5%), and sterling (15.0%) (see table). Note that volume percentages should add up to 200%: 100% for all the sellers and 100% for all the buyers.

Trading in the euro has grown considerably since the currency's creation in January 1999, and how long the foreign exchange market will remain dollar-centered is open to debate. Until recently, trading the euro versus a non-European currency ZZZ would have usually involved two trades: EUR/USD and USD/ZZZ. The exception to this is EUR/JPY, which is an established traded currency pair in the interbank spot market. As the dollar's value has eroded during 2008, interest in using the euro as reference currency for prices in commodities (such as oil), as well as a larger component of foreign reserves by banks, has increased dramatically. Transactions in the currencies of commodity-producing countries, such as AUD, NZD, CAD, have also increased.

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